Very Quick Commentary on OSG
As all readers are aware, OSG filed for bankruptcy protection in the District of Delaware yesterday. First day motions and affidavit were filed yesterday. I am still going through most of the documents. During the day, the OSG bonds were quoted much lower but rallied hard and finished the day actually higher on the day before bankruptcy (bonds trading in the low 30s flat) with many dealers putting out quotes bid without. The revolver also finished the day quoted higher.
Driving some of this optimism (on bonds side at least) are things that were first publicly disclosed in the first day filings as the apparent lack of concern in the filings for the ultimate IRS liability that swings recoveries every which way (how much? are they priority claims per 507(a)8?, etc). To me by far the most important disclosure was on page 39 of the First Day Affidavit:
"In order to ensure uninterrupted business operations during the initial stages of restructuring and to formalize the intercompany transactions and transfers, OSG, OSM-UK, OIN, and OBS have recently entered into several revolving loan agreements. These revolvers are secured by pledges of equity, cash, accounts, general intangibles, and intercompany receivables. Under the Intercompany Revolvers, OSM-UK may borrow up to $150 million at any time from OIN (approximately $75 million was outstanding as of the Petition Date); OIN may borrow up to $150 million at any time from OSG (approximately $75 million was outstanding as of the Petition Date); and OBS may borrow up to $150 million at any time from OSG (approximately $50 million was outstanding as of the Petition Date)."Two things are important here:
- OSG, the holding company, will now have a secured claim against OIN and OBS to the extent the revolvers are drawn down. While this doesn't "prime" the unsecured revolvers as the unsecured revolvers also benefit from any value at OSG, it does layer in additional claims to which OSG bonds benefit
- A big question is where the revolver was drawn down on prior to bankruptcy. Because cash doesn't just come from thin air, and OSG has down streamed capital in forms of loans, that capital had to come from somewhere. It probably came from the drawing down of the unsecured revolver at holdco. This is important because if the cash had resided at an intermediate holding company, the bonds would have been structurally subordinated in terms of recovery

3 comments:
I love this coverage of OSG. It definitely worked out that they filed so quickley after your initial post.
Great post - please keep them coming! I take it that you assume that there will be no recovery for the equity (as implied by bank/bond prices)? I have a vested interest, we own puts on it at $2, $1 and $0.50. I'm surprised that the stock is not closer to zero (mind you the market cap is so small at present).
Interesting that they don't need any DIP.
I think the tax issue will be at the lower rather than high end but we are just beginning our work - so that is pure speculation.
JB
Hi Hunter - what are the chances of this being a Trident Microsystems situation - no DIP, asset values stated as being way in excess of liabilities? (Well, Trident had no debt...) Is it the case that the asset values are silly - ie ships on the books at depreciated purchase price rather than scrap value or something similar?
The large price move indicated someone thinks this?
What do you think?
Any chance of a debt deal that leaves equity value in place - or does the price of the debt indicate otherwise?
jb
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